Your Compass in the Security Nexus


January 2026

Open Source Naval Order of Battle

Commercial maritime sensing has made it easier to build naval order-of-battle estimates from open sources. AIS provides identity and patterns but is vulnerable to spoofing and manipulation. SAR detects ships regardless of cooperation, and fusion approaches exploit mismatches between AIS and imagery to identify anomalies and “dark ships.” Commercial RF mapping can add another layer of behavioral evidence when AIS goes silent. States should counter OSINT by reducing adversary inference through emission discipline, selective disclosure, AIS governance, and better internal sharing, rather than defaulting to overclassification. Read More…

Rails Without Borders: How Cross Border Dependencies Turn Rail Networks into Cascading Risk Machines

International rail networks become uniquely vulnerable at borders because critical flows concentrate into a few corridors and ports of entry, while operational interdependencies (services, rolling stock, crew) turn local constraints into network-wide delay cascades. The most effective countermeasures combine cross-border governance (shared playbooks, joint incident command, mutual aid) with technical resilience (slack capacity, modular operations, predictive monitoring, network-aware rerouting, and cyber-physical hardening), all aimed at preventing constraint overload and shortening time spent in cascade mode. Read More…

How Secure Is U.S. Passenger Rail, And What Does “Critical Rail Infrastructure Security” Look Like?

U.S. passenger rail is an open network. Airport-style checkpoints do not scale across hundreds of stations and platforms. Effective security is layered and intelligence led: visible policing and K9 presence, randomized checks, strong reporting and intel sharing, and fast incident response and recovery. The real high-leverage work sits in the cyber-physical stack that moves trains safely: signals, interlockings, dispatch, power, and communications. The post lays out a clean threat model, clarifies federal and operator roles for “critical rail,” and closes with practical guidance for travelers as well as feasible improvements for policymakers and operators. Read More…