Your Compass in the Security Nexus


April 2025

Shadows of Innovation and Power: Intelligence Transformation Beneath the Threshold

Innovation and hybrid warfare are reshaping intelligence operations. Western agencies must adapt — or risk being outmaneuvered by states fusing crime, covert action, and irregular tactics. Read More…

🧨 Why Do Civil Wars Erupt in Capital Cities? And Why Do States Keep Fueling Them Across Borders?

Recent research challenges the conventional belief that rebellion thrives only where the state is weakest. Instead, some of the most formidable rebel movements emerge not from the periphery, but from capital cities—while rulers respond through transnational alliances crafted for their own political survival. This week, we examine how we understand rebellion and state behavior in civil war. Read More…

When Process Fails: Why Bad Decisions Lead to Worse Wars

Foreign policy disasters—like the Iraq War—often stem not from bad intelligence alone, but from flawed decision-making processes. Research shows that open, inclusive, and structured processes significantly reduce misjudgment and increase national success. When leaders suppress dissent and ignore institutional feedback, the consequences can be catastrophic. Read More…

Can Cyber Attacks Force Concessions? Rethinking Digital Coercion

This blog explores how cyberattacks can function as tools of state coercion. Drawing from over 400 cyber incidents, the research shows that more severe attacks increase the likelihood of concessions from targeted states—contrary to the belief that such operations only provoke defiance. While deep intrusions like Trojans may reduce compliance, rapid, disruptive actions like information operations appear more effective. The findings highlight how cyber tools are reshaping diplomacy and conflict strategy in the digital age. Read More…

Welcome to The Nexus Blog: Security in an Age of Uncertainty

The Nexus Blog is your hub for expert analysis on cyber strategy, hybrid threats, and evolving global security. Whether you’re a practitioner, scholar, or engaged citizen, this space empowers you with the insights needed to navigate today’s complex threat landscape. Read More…