Artificial Intelligence is no longer an experimental add-on to national security—it’s becoming the neural spine of modern intelligence operations. As AI systems integrate into collection, analysis, and dissemination, they reshape not just how intelligence is produced, but how decisions are made, risks are assessed, and policies are formed. Yet, the transition from human intuition to machine-assisted forecasting introduces a new tier of ethical, strategic, and operational complexity that intelligence professionals must now navigate. Read More…
In the wake of 9/11, U.S. surveillance capabilities expanded dramatically under laws like the USA PATRIOT Act. But as digital communication has evolved, so have concerns about privacy, constitutional overreach, and the legitimacy of intelligence operations. This post examines the historical and legal roots of American surveillance and argues for a rebalanced framework that upholds national security without undermining civil liberties. Read More…
Major powers increasingly use cyber operations to engage rivals below the threshold of war. Despite frequent attacks, states show strategic restraint, favoring espionage, disruption, and signaling over destruction. These dyadic cyber interactions are shaping the rules of 21st-century conflict. Read More…
Innovation and hybrid warfare are reshaping intelligence operations. Western agencies must adapt — or risk being outmaneuvered by states fusing crime, covert action, and irregular tactics. Read More…
Recent research challenges the conventional belief that rebellion thrives only where the state is weakest. Instead, some of the most formidable rebel movements emerge not from the periphery, but from capital cities—while rulers respond through transnational alliances crafted for their own political survival. This week, we examine how we understand rebellion and state behavior in civil war. Read More…
